Benfica Castelo Branco vs Loures analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
BEN
3 - 0
MAC
89%
8%
3%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ADN
0 - 1
BEN
29%
28%
44%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 1
PEN
78%
15%
7%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
OLE
1 - 1
BEN
34%
28%
39%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
BEN
0 - 0
ALV
77%
16%
8%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Loures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
LOU
3 - 1
PEN
70%
19%
12%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
TOR
0 - 2
LOU
56%
24%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
LOU
3 - 0
ADN
39%
27%
33%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 1
LOU
50%
24%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
LOU
0 - 1
VIL
20%
26%
54%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |