Benfica Castelo Branco vs Águias do Moradal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 0
BEN
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
BEN
0 - 2
UDL
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
BEN
2 - 1
GAF
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 1
BEN
22%
26%
52%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
BEN
5 - 1
LEM
82%
12%
6%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Águias do Moradal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ADM
0 - 3
MAR
33%
26%
42%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CES
3 - 2
ADM
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FAL
1 - 4
ADM
14%
18%
68%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ADM
2 - 2
OLE
50%
21%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ALC
1 - 2
ADM
14%
18%
69%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | +1 |