Spittal vs Rapid Lienz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
13.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spittal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
FLC
4 - 3
SPI
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
SPI
0 - 0
TRE
48%
23%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
MIC
3 - 3
SPI
26%
21%
53%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
SPI
3 - 0
GLO
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
SPI
1 - 0
WOL
22%
23%
55%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Rapid Lienz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
RAP
2 - 3
LEN
44%
25%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
KUH
0 - 2
RAP
49%
23%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
RAP
1 - 0
KMD
29%
25%
47%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
VOL
0 - 2
RAP
80%
14%
6%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
RAP
2 - 3
MSA
23%
23%
54%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |