Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
70.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SVA
2 - 0
CHE
49%
22%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
SVE
0 - 2
SVA
29%
26%
46%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
SVA
3 - 0
SEP
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
DUN
1 - 1
SVA
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
SGT
1 - 3
SVA
9%
15%
76%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
KAR
3 - 2
LSO
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
LSO
2 - 0
LOV
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
DOB
0 - 3
LSO
22%
26%
52%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2020 |
LSO
0 - 0
FKM
72%
19%
9%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
SEP
2 - 5
LSO
61%
22%
18%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |