Spartak Varna vs Kaliakra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
47.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
LOR
0 - 1
SVA
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
DOB
2 - 0
SVA
84%
12%
5%
|
21 | 54 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
SUV
0 - 1
SVA
85%
11%
5%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
SVA
7 - 1
BEN
77%
14%
10%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SVA
2 - 0
KAL
14%
18%
68%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | +4 |
Matches
Kaliakra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
KAL
2 - 0
BOT
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SEP
0 - 0
KAL
42%
24%
35%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
KAL
1 - 0
KUB
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
KAL
1 - 5
DOB
11%
20%
69%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
LOR
1 - 0
KAL
63%
21%
17%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |