Spartak Sofia vs Marek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
13.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1953 |
STR
1 - 1
SPS
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1953 |
AKV
3 - 1
SPS
49%
22%
29%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1953 |
LSO
1 - 0
SPS
44%
23%
33%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1953 |
SPS
1 - 1
LSO
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
CSK
7 - 1
SPS
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1953 |
MAR
4 - 1
SPA
58%
22%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1953 |
FKM
4 - 1
MAR
67%
19%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1953 |
LPL
4 - 3
MAR
70%
17%
13%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1953 |
LSO
2 - 0
MAR
75%
15%
10%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1953 |
MAR
1 - 2
CSK
36%
23%
40%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |