Non League Div One Northern South Round 11

Spalding United vs Leek Town analysis

Spalding United Leek Town
34 ELO 33
-2.4% Tilt 2.3%
5934º General ELO ranking 7194º
194º Country ELO ranking 264º
ELO win probability
56.5%
Spalding United
22.2%
Draw
21.3%
Leek Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
Spalding United
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.3%
Win probability
Leek Town
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Spalding United
+31%
-34%
Leek Town

ELO progression

Spalding United
Leek Town
Bedworth United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Spalding United
Spalding United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2016
GRE
Gresley
4 - 1
Spalding United
SPA
35%
24%
41%
38 32 6 0
01 Oct. 2016
CHA
Chasetown
1 - 1
Spalding United
SPA
42%
24%
34%
38 36 2 0
27 Sep. 2016
SPA
Spalding United
3 - 1
Rugby Town
RUG
60%
21%
20%
36 28 8 +2
24 Sep. 2016
SPA
Spalding United
2 - 2
Gresley
GRE
59%
21%
20%
36 29 7 0
20 Sep. 2016
BEL
Belper Town FC
1 - 2
Spalding United
SPA
42%
24%
34%
36 34 2 0

Matches

Leek Town
Leek Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2016
LOU
Loughborough Dynamo FC
1 - 2
Leek Town
LEE
31%
24%
46%
31 21 10 0
01 Oct. 2016
BEL
Belper Town FC
0 - 0
Leek Town
LEE
53%
23%
24%
31 33 2 0
26 Sep. 2016
BAS
Basford United
4 - 2
Leek Town
LEE
59%
21%
21%
31 36 5 0
24 Sep. 2016
LEE
Leek Town
3 - 2
Chasetown
CHA
41%
25%
34%
30 34 4 +1
17 Sep. 2016
SHE
Sheffield FC
2 - 1
Leek Town
LEE
41%
24%
35%
32 26 6 -2