Spalding United vs AFC Hornchurch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
64.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spalding United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 0
GOR
29%
22%
49%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SPA
4 - 0
HOL
39%
23%
38%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SPA
4 - 2
EYN
39%
23%
38%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
SPA
0 - 4
CAR
8%
16%
76%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SUT
1 - 1
SPA
92%
6%
2%
|
10 | 40 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
ENF
0 - 2
HOR
22%
23%
55%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
LEI
2 - 3
HOR
22%
23%
55%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
EAS
1 - 2
HOR
41%
25%
35%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 1
EAS
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 1
WEA
31%
28%
41%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |