SPAL vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
34.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
TRI
2 - 0
SPA
50%
24%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
SPA
1 - 0
LAZ
41%
26%
34%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
ACM
1 - 0
SPA
87%
9%
5%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
SPA
0 - 0
COM
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
FIO
1 - 1
SPA
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
TOR
4 - 1
NOV
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
PRO
3 - 0
TOR
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
TOR
1 - 1
INT
33%
23%
45%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
UDI
1 - 0
TOR
40%
24%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
TOR
2 - 0
SAM
60%
21%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |