SPAL vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
UDI
0 - 0
SPA
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2019 |
SPA
0 - 1
SAM
30%
25%
46%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
ACM
1 - 0
SPA
70%
20%
10%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
SPA
1 - 1
NAP
13%
20%
66%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CAG
2 - 0
SPA
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
MON
2 - 1
GEN
53%
24%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
NAP
0 - 0
GEN
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
GEN
1 - 3
UDI
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
JUV
2 - 1
GEN
82%
13%
5%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
GEN
3 - 1
BRE
51%
25%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |