SPAL vs US Forcoli 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
7.6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ASL
1 - 0
SPA
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SPA
1 - 3
FOR
76%
17%
7%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ROS
0 - 2
SPA
14%
24%
62%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SPA
2 - 0
FOR
76%
17%
8%
|
54 | 22 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FID
0 - 1
SPA
16%
24%
59%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
BAG
52%
24%
23%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
MAS
0 - 1
FOR
34%
26%
40%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
ASL
13%
23%
65%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 0
FOR
52%
25%
23%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ROS
2 - 1
FOR
45%
26%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |