SPAL vs Chievo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 1
SPA
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 1
SPA
66%
21%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
SPA
2 - 2
EMP
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
JUV
2 - 0
SPA
86%
11%
3%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SPA
2 - 2
CAG
39%
28%
34%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
CHI
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 2
CAG
39%
27%
35%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 1
LAZ
17%
23%
61%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
NAP
0 - 0
CHI
87%
10%
3%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 2
BOL
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |