Spakenburg vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 3
GEN
74%
15%
11%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
LIS
1 - 2
SPA
45%
23%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 0
JOD
74%
15%
11%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
IJS
1 - 0
SPA
45%
23%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 3
NOO
59%
20%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 1
NOO
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 0
CAP
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
KAT
5 - 2
EXC
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
EXC
4 - 2
HHC
37%
24%
39%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
KOZ
6 - 3
EXC
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -2 |