Spaeri vs Merani Martvili analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
2º
9º
3º
26
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spaeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DIN
2 - 3
SPA
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 2
SPA
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
SPA
4 - 1
NOR
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
SPA
0 - 2
FTK
29%
24%
46%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
KOL
2 - 0
SPA
46%
24%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Merani Martvili
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
KOL
0 - 0
MER
65%
20%
14%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
DIN
4 - 2
MER
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MER
0 - 2
SIO
19%
23%
58%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 3
MER
40%
24%
37%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
MER
0 - 4
KOL
16%
21%
63%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | -1 |