Southport vs Torquay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
WOK
1 - 2
SOU
71%
18%
12%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 4
GRI
23%
26%
51%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 1
SOU
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
HAL
2 - 2
SOU
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 2
TRA
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Torquay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
GUL
2 - 3
DOV
19%
24%
58%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GUL
0 - 2
ALD
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LIN
2 - 0
GUL
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
GUL
1 - 2
BOR
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
GUL
3 - 7
BRO
32%
26%
43%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |