Southport vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
74.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 4
TRA
13%
22%
66%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 2
BPO
9%
18%
73%
|
40 | 68 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 5
SOU
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 1
AFC
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
GAT
3 - 1
SOU
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
BOL
1 - 1
HUR
32%
25%
43%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
BAM
1 - 0
BOL
10%
17%
73%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
CUM
3 - 1
BOL
17%
21%
62%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
ATH
1 - 0
BOL
6%
15%
79%
|
65 | 32 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
WAT
0 - 2
BOL
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |