Southport vs Altrincham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 0
BRA
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
FAR
0 - 5
SOU
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
BOS
2 - 0
SOU
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SOU
5 - 2
SCA
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 0
BLY
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
GUI
1 - 1
ALT
31%
25%
45%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
HAL
0 - 2
ALT
17%
21%
62%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
ALT
1 - 0
CHE
43%
24%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 1
ALT
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
KID
2 - 0
ALT
29%
24%
48%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -2 |