Southern District Reserve vs Kitchee Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
36.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southern District Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
SOU
0 - 0
DRE
24%
18%
58%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 2
WTP
22%
18%
60%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
PEG
4 - 1
SOU
60%
19%
22%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 1
YLO
33%
20%
48%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
HKS
0 - 1
SOU
48%
21%
31%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Kitchee Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
KIT
4 - 0
ESA
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
DRE
0 - 2
KIT
68%
16%
16%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
ESA
0 - 1
KIT
21%
20%
58%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
KIT
4 - 4
HKS
59%
19%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
KIT
2 - 3
WTP
24%
18%
58%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |