Southend United vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2003 |
SOU
0 - 2
LIN
43%
28%
30%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
HUL
3 - 2
SOU
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
OXF
2 - 0
SOU
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
SOU
1 - 0
BCF
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
YOR
2 - 0
SOU
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2003 |
NOR
2 - 0
CUM
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
CUM
3 - 2
ROC
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
DAR
2 - 0
CUM
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
CUM
0 - 0
CAM
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2003 |
BOS
1 - 0
CUM
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |