FA Cup . 1/32
Global 3-4
Southend United vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 1
GIL
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
BUR
2 - 0
SOU
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
DAG
0 - 3
SOU
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
SOU
3 - 0
CHE
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 2
BRA
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
BRE
0 - 0
BOU
48%
25%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
STF
0 - 0
BRE
27%
28%
45%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
COL
1 - 3
BRE
26%
27%
47%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2012 |
BRE
4 - 2
BRA
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
NOT
1 - 2
BRE
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |