Premier League Sub 18 South Round 3

Southampton U18 vs Chelsea U18 analysis

Southampton U18 Chelsea U18
37 ELO 34
6.8% Tilt 13.8%
8208º General ELO ranking 6873º
337º Country ELO ranking 247º
ELO win probability
50.4%
Southampton U18
21%
Draw
28.6%
Chelsea U18

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
Southampton U18
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
28.6%
Win probability
Chelsea U18
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Southampton U18
+80%
+26%
Chelsea U18

Points and table prediction

Southampton U18
Their league position
Chelsea U18
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
12º
37
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
West Ham U18
57
57
100%
Fulham U18
40
40
100%
Crystal Palace U18
39
39
100%
Chelsea U18
37
37
100%
Tottenham Hotspur U18
36
36
100%
Brighton & Hove U18
29
29
100%
West Bromwich Albion U18
24
24
100%
Southampton U18
24
24
0%
Leicester U18
24
24
0%
Aston Villa U18
10º
24
24
10º
100%
Arsenal U18
11º
23
23
11º
100%
Norwich City U18
12º
16
16
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Southampton U18
Chelsea U18
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Southampton U18
Chelsea U18
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Southampton U18
Southampton U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2022
WHU
West Ham U18
4 - 1
Southampton U18
SOU
52%
23%
26%
38 41 3 0
13 Aug. 2022
SOU
Southampton U18
3 - 3
Aston Villa U18
AST
81%
12%
7%
38 21 17 0
19 May. 2022
SOU
Southampton U18
1 - 2
Man. City U18
MCI
30%
24%
46%
40 45 5 -2
07 May. 2022
SOU
Southampton U18
5 - 2
Chelsea U18
CHE
56%
20%
23%
39 33 6 +1
04 May. 2022
SOU
Southampton U18
3 - 0
Reading U18
REA
80%
13%
7%
39 21 18 0

Matches

Chelsea U18
Chelsea U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2022
CHE
Chelsea U18
4 - 0
Leicester U18
LEI
55%
21%
24%
33 30 3 0
13 Aug. 2022
ARS
Arsenal U18
0 - 1
Chelsea U18
CHE
63%
18%
19%
32 38 6 +1
07 May. 2022
SOU
Southampton U18
5 - 2
Chelsea U18
CHE
56%
20%
23%
33 39 6 -1
30 Apr. 2022
CHE
Chelsea U18
2 - 2
Crystal Palace U18
CRY
30%
22%
48%
33 40 7 0
26 Apr. 2022
BIR
Birmingham City U18
2 - 4
Chelsea U18
CHE
17%
19%
64%
33 21 12 0