Q. Europa League Play-offs. Final
Global 1-2
Southampton vs Midtjylland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 3
EVE
52%
24%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
NEW
2 - 2
SOU
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 2
SOU
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 1
ESP
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
SOU
3 - 0
VIT
57%
22%
22%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
MID
0 - 0
FCK
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
AAB
0 - 2
MID
30%
26%
44%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
APO
0 - 1
MID
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
MID
1 - 0
OBK
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2015 |
MID
1 - 2
APO
56%
24%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |