Southampton vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1987 |
SOU
5 - 0
ASV
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
EVE
3 - 0
SOU
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1987 |
SOU
4 - 0
LEI
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
LIV
1 - 0
SOU
77%
15%
8%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1987 |
LIV
3 - 0
SOU
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1987 |
NOR
0 - 0
LUT
46%
27%
27%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
LUT
2 - 1
MUD
46%
27%
28%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1987 |
LIV
2 - 0
LUT
72%
17%
10%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
LUT
2 - 1
WHU
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1987 |
MAC
1 - 1
LUT
36%
28%
37%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |