South Hobart vs Olympia Warriors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
15.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Hobart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SOU
8 - 0
CLA
92%
6%
2%
|
39 | 8 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 1
DEV
88%
8%
4%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LAU
0 - 10
SOU
7%
11%
82%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SOU
12 - 0
NOR
84%
10%
6%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 0
HOB
63%
18%
18%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Olympia Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
OLY
3 - 1
UOT
81%
13%
7%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | 0 |