Soto del Barco vs UD Castros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
64.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Soto del Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 0
SDB
79%
13%
8%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
TRE
5 - 0
SDB
82%
12%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 0
MCU
68%
18%
15%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAS
15%
17%
67%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
4 - 1
ARE
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
4 - 0
VER
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
NAI
1 - 2
CAS
52%
20%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |