Somozas vs CD Lugo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
33.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
OUR
3 - 0
SOM
40%
26%
35%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
SOM
0 - 2
BER
37%
25%
38%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
SOM
1 - 1
RIB
73%
17%
11%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
RCV
0 - 0
SOM
33%
25%
42%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
SOM
2 - 1
LAR
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
POL
3 - 2
RIB
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
RCV
0 - 1
POL
42%
25%
34%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
POL
1 - 0
LAR
63%
20%
18%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ARE
2 - 1
POL
26%
23%
51%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
POL
1 - 1
CHO
43%
24%
34%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |