Sol de América vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
38.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
AME
2 - 0
LQE
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
12O
1 - 1
AME
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
AME
3 - 2
RÑU
43%
28%
30%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
AME
0 - 3
NAC
31%
27%
43%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
TAC
0 - 0
AME
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 0
OLI
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 1
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 0
LQE
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
AME
0 - 3
NAC
31%
27%
43%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 0
RÑU
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |