Sete de Setembro vs Vera Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
53.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sete de Setembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
SAL
2 - 0
SSS
72%
19%
10%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 2
SSS
82%
13%
5%
|
27 | 56 | 29 | +3 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
SSS
0 - 2
SPO
8%
18%
74%
|
27 | 66 | 39 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
ACA
2 - 1
SSS
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SSS
1 - 1
AFO
28%
25%
48%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vera Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
VCR
1 - 0
CEN
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
VCR
2 - 1
RFC
22%
22%
55%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
AFO
2 - 1
VCR
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
VCR
2 - 0
SAL
20%
25%
55%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +3 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
4 - 1
VCR
84%
12%
4%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |