Sobradinho vs Real Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sobradinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1987 |
SOB
0 - 3
SCI
19%
25%
56%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
ATM
1 - 1
SOB
84%
11%
5%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
CRI
1 - 0
SOB
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1986 |
SOB
2 - 1
NAC
40%
27%
34%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1986 |
COR
0 - 0
SOB
80%
13%
7%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Real Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2000 |
PPE
4 - 0
DOM
88%
10%
2%
|
46 | 80 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2000 |
DOM
1 - 2
PPE
8%
22%
70%
|
46 | 80 | 34 | 0 |