Sobradinho vs Capital Brasilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sobradinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
BAN
3 - 5
SOB
10%
17%
73%
|
56 | 5 | 51 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
SOB
2 - 2
CEI
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
CFZ
2 - 1
SOB
12%
19%
69%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
SOB
1 - 3
PAR
78%
14%
8%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
DOM
2 - 0
SOB
21%
22%
57%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Capital Brasilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
CAP
2 - 2
CFZ
41%
24%
36%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 1
CAP
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
CAP
0 - 2
BRA
9%
16%
75%
|
30 | 69 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
CAP
1 - 1
GAM
18%
22%
60%
|
29 | 60 | 31 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
CFZ
1 - 1
CAP
61%
19%
19%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |