Sobradinho vs Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sobradinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
GAM
3 - 2
SOB
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
SOB
2 - 3
CAP
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 2
SOB
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SOB
3 - 3
APA
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 0
SOB
44%
25%
32%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 1
LEG
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 2
BRA
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
4 - 1
BRA
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 2
GAM
21%
22%
57%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
CFZ
2 - 5
BRA
30%
25%
45%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |