Smena Komsomolsk vs Luch Vladivostok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
38%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smena Komsomolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2003 |
SME
1 - 0
OKN
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2003 |
IRT
0 - 0
SME
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
SIB
1 - 0
SME
50%
24%
25%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2003 |
SME
2 - 2
AMU
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
SME
3 - 0
SEL
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Luch Vladivostok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2003 |
AMU
0 - 0
VLA
30%
27%
43%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2003 |
VLA
4 - 2
SEL
84%
12%
4%
|
45 | 13 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
VLA
2 - 1
ZIR
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
CHK
0 - 1
VLA
19%
23%
58%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2003 |
DIN
2 - 1
VLA
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |