Sliema Wanderers vs Naxxar Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
1º
1º
60
2º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 8 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 3 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sliema Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 2
SLI
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ZEJ
1 - 3
SLI
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SLI
5 - 0
ZUR
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GZI
2 - 0
SLI
73%
17%
11%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 2
SLI
15%
22%
63%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Naxxar Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
NAX
3 - 0
ZUR
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
TAR
0 - 3
NAX
43%
24%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
NAX
0 - 0
ZEJ
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GUD
2 - 1
NAX
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
NAX
1 - 3
SWI
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |