KF Shkëndija vs AP Brera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
22.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
4º
3º
27
5º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 48.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 51.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SIL
1 - 1
SHK
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
FKS
0 - 1
SHK
10%
20%
70%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
RAB
2 - 4
SHK
25%
25%
49%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SHK
0 - 0
BRE
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
SHK
5 - 0
FKS
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
AKP
0 - 2
RAB
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 0
AKP
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
POB
1 - 1
AKP
19%
25%
57%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AKP
0 - 1
SHK
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
AKP
9 - 0
LJU
88%
9%
3%
|
62 | 8 | 54 | 0 |