SKA Brasil vs Rio Branco SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
70.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SKA Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PAU
1 - 1
SKA
75%
16%
10%
|
13 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SKA
3 - 0
AMP
10%
15%
76%
|
5 | 35 | 30 | +8 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SKA
1 - 2
AAI
11%
17%
72%
|
6 | 32 | 26 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CAT
5 - 2
SKA
77%
15%
8%
|
6 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
ITA
1 - 0
SKA
74%
17%
9%
|
6 | 41 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
RIO
36%
24%
39%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 1
PAU
47%
26%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 2
RIO
22%
22%
56%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
RIO
2 - 3
GRE
48%
26%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 2
ECN
51%
26%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |