Siroki Brijeg vs Sloga Meridian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
2º
7º
5º
6
1º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
8 | 58 |
1º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 57 |
2º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 55 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 54 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
|
5º
|
4 | 54 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 52 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
|
2º
|
6 | 51 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 43 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 26 |
10º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
9.5% | 8.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
27.5% | 23.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
59.5% | 56.5% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siroki Brijeg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
SIR
1 - 3
VEL
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
RUD
1 - 3
SIR
19%
26%
55%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
SIR
1 - 1
POS
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
JAD
2 - 4
SIR
21%
22%
57%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
HNG
4 - 2
SIR
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sloga Meridian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
SLO
2 - 1
SAR
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
SLO
2 - 1
VEL
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
SLO
2 - 0
ZBE
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
RAD
1 - 1
SLO
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
FKS
2 - 2
SLO
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |