Sirens vs Balzan FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
9º
13º
9º
46
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sirens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
GUD
1 - 0
SIR
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GZI
1 - 0
SIR
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SIR
1 - 2
MOS
28%
25%
48%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
SIR
3 - 3
VAL
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
HAM
3 - 0
SIR
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Balzan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 2
BIR
30%
25%
45%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 2
PIE
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HIB
1 - 2
BAL
61%
23%
17%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
GUD
0 - 1
BAL
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |