Siracusa vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.7%
17.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1951 |
SIR
2 - 0
MES
65%
18%
17%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
ANC
2 - 4
SIR
43%
24%
33%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
FAN
2 - 0
SIR
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1951 |
SER
1 - 1
SIR
46%
23%
31%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
SIR
2 - 0
BRE
61%
19%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
PAL
8 - 1
ASS
19%
21%
60%
|
61 | 16 | 45 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
ASS
1 - 2
GEN
38%
24%
38%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1939 |
ASS
2 - 1
BIE
38%
23%
39%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +2 |
| 25 Dec. 1938 |
ASS
2 - 0
CIV
87%
9%
5%
|
60 | 26 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1938 |
ASS
3 - 2
PON
87%
9%
4%
|
60 | 22 | 38 | 0 |