Simba SC vs Mwadui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
ALA
5 - 0
SIM
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
VCL
5 - 0
SIM
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
SIM
3 - 0
SAO
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2019 |
CFC
1 - 4
SIM
5%
12%
82%
|
68 | 8 | 60 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
SIM
3 - 0
SUT
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Mwadui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
JKT
3 - 0
MWA
47%
28%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
AZA
1 - 0
MWA
72%
19%
9%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2019 |
YOU
3 - 1
MWA
72%
19%
10%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
MWA
1 - 2
SUT
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
MWA
4 - 0
KAG
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +2 |