Serie B Round 11

Siena vs Palermo FC analysis

Siena Palermo FC
65 ELO 64
-10.4% Tilt -15.5%
3968º General ELO ranking 296º
134º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
49.7%
Siena
25.4%
Draw
24.9%
Palermo FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
Siena
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.9%
Win probability
Palermo FC
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Siena
-5%
+6%
Palermo FC

ELO progression

Siena
Palermo FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Siena
Siena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2001
COS
Cosenza Calcio
2 - 1
Siena
SIE
52%
25%
23%
65 65 0 0
24 Oct. 2001
VER
Hellas Verona
3 - 2
Siena
SIE
81%
13%
6%
66 79 13 -1
14 Oct. 2001
SIE
Siena
0 - 1
Como
COM
44%
27%
29%
66 70 4 0
07 Oct. 2001
CAG
Cagliari
1 - 1
Siena
SIE
66%
21%
13%
66 73 7 0
01 Oct. 2001
SIE
Siena
2 - 1
Salernitana
SAL
43%
26%
31%
66 67 1 0

Matches

Palermo FC
Palermo FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2001
PAL
Palermo FC
3 - 0
Ternana Calcio
TER
32%
28%
41%
63 71 8 0
14 Oct. 2001
MES
ACR Messina
2 - 0
Palermo FC
PAL
45%
28%
28%
64 65 1 -1
07 Oct. 2001
REG
Reggina
1 - 1
Palermo FC
PAL
63%
24%
13%
64 78 14 0
30 Sep. 2001
SAM
Sampdoria
1 - 2
Palermo FC
PAL
74%
18%
9%
63 78 15 +1
23 Sep. 2001
PAL
Palermo FC
3 - 1
Cittadella
CTT
45%
27%
28%
62 62 0 +1