Shrewsbury Town vs Newcastle Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
TRA
0 - 1
STF
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
STF
0 - 3
FLE
40%
28%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
ROT
0 - 0
STF
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
STF
4 - 3
SOU
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
AFC
1 - 1
STF
34%
27%
40%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
MAC
2 - 1
NWC
56%
22%
23%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
SUN
4 - 0
NWC
81%
14%
6%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
NWC
1 - 1
MAC
29%
22%
48%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
GRI
2 - 3
NWC
44%
24%
31%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
NOT
0 - 2
NWC
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +2 |