EFL Cup . 1/64
Global 4-6
Shrewsbury Town vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
LIN
1 - 0
STF
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1997 |
BRE
1 - 1
STF
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
GIL
2 - 0
STF
62%
23%
16%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
STF
0 - 2
PNE
42%
27%
32%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
LUT
2 - 0
STF
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
WAT
3 - 1
BRE
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
BRE
0 - 0
CHE
38%
30%
32%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1997 |
BRE
1 - 1
STF
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
MIL
3 - 0
BRE
40%
29%
32%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
BRE
0 - 1
POS
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |