Shurtan vs Qizilqum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shurtan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
NAS
2 - 1
SHO
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
MET
1 - 0
SHO
47%
25%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
SHO
3 - 1
NAV
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
FKL
4 - 1
SHO
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SHO
1 - 0
MAS
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
QIZ
3 - 2
MAS
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
NEF
2 - 0
QIZ
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
QIZ
1 - 1
MET
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 1
QIZ
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
QIZ
0 - 2
FKL
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |