Shoreham FC vs Horley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shoreham FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SHO
8 - 0
STF
80%
14%
7%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
DUL
6 - 0
SHO
75%
15%
9%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SHO
2 - 1
WAL
26%
23%
51%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
DOR
1 - 4
SHO
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 39 | 26 | +2 |
Matches
Horley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
HOR
7 - 0
WIC
63%
20%
18%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BIG
2 - 1
HOR
72%
17%
11%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
WHY
3 - 0
HOR
77%
14%
9%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
HOR
5 - 3
HOL
50%
23%
27%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SEV
3 - 0
HOR
75%
16%
10%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |