J1 League - 2nd Phase Round 11

Shonan Bellmare vs Cerezo Osaka analysis

Shonan Bellmare Cerezo Osaka
35 ELO 52
22.5% Tilt 13.7%
469º General ELO ranking 400º
16º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
31.5%
Shonan Bellmare
25.1%
Draw
43.4%
Cerezo Osaka

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
Shonan Bellmare
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
43.4%
Win probability
Cerezo Osaka
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Shonan Bellmare
-14%
+6%
Cerezo Osaka

ELO progression

Shonan Bellmare
Cerezo Osaka
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Shonan Bellmare
Shonan Bellmare
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 1999
SHO
Shonan Bellmare
0 - 2
Yokohama F. Marinos
YFM
21%
22%
57%
37 63 26 0
18 Sep. 1999
KAR
Kashiwa Reysol
1 - 0
Shonan Bellmare
SHO
74%
16%
10%
37 56 19 0
15 Sep. 1999
SHO
Shonan Bellmare
0 - 1
Kyoto Sanga
KYO
52%
24%
24%
38 46 8 -1
11 Sep. 1999
SHO
Shonan Bellmare
0 - 3
Avispa Fukuoka
AVI
65%
20%
15%
40 39 1 -2
04 Sep. 1999
TOK
Tokyo Verdy
2 - 1
Shonan Bellmare
SHO
65%
20%
15%
40 52 12 0

Matches

Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 1999
SAN
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 - 4
Cerezo Osaka
CER
60%
21%
18%
50 54 4 0
18 Sep. 1999
CER
Cerezo Osaka
5 - 0
Vissel Kobe
VIS
72%
16%
12%
50 41 9 0
15 Sep. 1999
JEF
JEF United
2 - 0
Cerezo Osaka
CER
39%
25%
36%
51 40 11 -1
11 Sep. 1999
CER
Cerezo Osaka
4 - 1
Gamba Osaka
GAM
67%
19%
14%
51 47 4 0
04 Sep. 1999
NAG
Nagoya Grampus
3 - 2
Cerezo Osaka
CER
63%
21%
17%
51 58 7 0