Sholing vs AFC Hayes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
20.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sholing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
PAU
3 - 0
SHO
34%
25%
42%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
ABI
1 - 0
SHO
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
GOD
3 - 1
SHO
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
YAT
0 - 3
SHO
41%
24%
36%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
SHO
3 - 0
FRO
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Hayes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
AFH
1 - 2
WEF
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
AFH
1 - 4
BRI
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -3 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
TAU
1 - 1
AFH
31%
24%
46%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
GOS
2 - 1
AFH
38%
24%
39%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
AFH
4 - 2
BIS
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |