Shkupi vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
11.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+78%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
12º
3º
37
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ARE
1 - 3
SHK
13%
18%
69%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VOK
0 - 0
SHK
30%
28%
42%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SHK
3 - 2
RAB
64%
22%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 0
SHK
28%
27%
44%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SHK
0 - 0
TIK
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 1
SHK
24%
27%
50%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GOS
0 - 0
VAR
54%
25%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 0
RAB
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SHK
3 - 0
VAR
62%
23%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 0
BRE
32%
26%
41%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |