Macedonian Cup Last 16

Global 1-3

Shkupi vs FK Vardar analysis

Shkupi FK Vardar
63 ELO 68
-11% Tilt -14.9%
2119º General ELO ranking 2445º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
31.6%
Shkupi
25%
Draw
43.4%
FK Vardar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
Shkupi
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43.4%
Win probability
FK Vardar
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Shkupi
-41%
+78%
FK Vardar

ELO progression

Shkupi
FK Vardar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Shkupi
Shkupi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 2017
SHK
Shkupi
2 - 0
FK Vardar
VAR
32%
27%
41%
64 69 5 0
30 Nov. 2017
VAR
FK Vardar
1 - 1
Shkupi
SHK
64%
20%
16%
63 69 6 +1
26 Nov. 2017
PEL
Pelister
2 - 2
Shkupi
SHK
49%
28%
24%
63 64 1 0
22 Nov. 2017
FKS
FK Skopje
0 - 0
Shkupi
SHK
28%
30%
42%
63 56 7 0
19 Nov. 2017
SHK
Shkupi
4 - 1
Renova
REN
33%
29%
39%
62 67 5 +1

Matches

FK Vardar
FK Vardar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Dec. 2017
VAR
FK Vardar
1 - 0
Rabotnički
RAB
51%
24%
25%
67 67 0 0
10 Dec. 2017
VAR
FK Vardar
3 - 1
AP Brera
AKP
52%
24%
24%
67 65 2 0
07 Dec. 2017
VAR
FK Vardar
1 - 1
Rosenborg BK
RBK
22%
22%
56%
68 82 14 -1
03 Dec. 2017
SHK
Shkupi
2 - 0
FK Vardar
VAR
32%
27%
41%
69 64 5 -1
30 Nov. 2017
VAR
FK Vardar
1 - 1
Shkupi
SHK
64%
20%
16%
69 63 6 0