Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Mordovia Saransk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
14%
4.7%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shinnik Yaroslavl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2007 |
YAR
2 - 1
KAM
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2007 |
TOR
1 - 2
YAR
67%
20%
12%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
BAL
1 - 2
YAR
32%
29%
39%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
YAR
1 - 0
URA
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
YAR
2 - 0
SRY
81%
14%
6%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Mordovia Saransk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2007 |
TEK
0 - 0
MOR
43%
28%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2007 |
MOR
0 - 3
NOS
26%
26%
49%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
MOR
2 - 0
SST
22%
26%
53%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
KAM
3 - 0
MOR
80%
15%
5%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2007 |
BAL
2 - 0
MOR
64%
22%
14%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |