Shepshed vs Carlton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
35.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SHE
0 - 1
RUN
22%
23%
55%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
SHE
0 - 0
WAL
44%
22%
34%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
SHE
3 - 0
SHE
30%
24%
47%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SHE
0 - 0
NUN
21%
22%
57%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
QUO
2 - 2
SHE
47%
22%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Carlton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
FRI
2 - 1
CAR
53%
23%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
STA
4 - 0
CAR
31%
22%
47%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
SHE
0 - 2
CAR
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 2
LEE
15%
20%
65%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
EVE
2 - 0
CAR
44%
24%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |